Download Avoiding the Abyss: Progress, Shortfalls, and the Way Ahead by Barry R. Schneider, Jim A. Davis PDF

By Barry R. Schneider, Jim A. Davis

In December 1993, Secretary of safety Les Aspin introduced the Counterproliferation Initiative, a reaction to President Clinton's statement that if we don't stem the proliferation of the world's deadliest guns, no democracy can consider safe. This well timed e-book brings jointly contributions from quite a lot of specialists to assist readers know how some distance the country has come on account that then—and what nonetheless must happen.Insightful essays research: fingers keep an eye on treaty courses; export keep an eye on regimes; interdiction; diplomatic/economic/political persuasion and sanctions; deterrence; counterforce; energetic and passive safeguard; and outcome administration. Many optimistic alterations have happened due to the fact that 1993. Regime adjustments in Iraq and South Africa have got rid of a few WMD proliferation threats. Saddam Hussein has been overthrown, and a brand new Iraq is starting to emerge. South Africa's clandestine WMD application has it appears ended. Libya introduced it has given up its efforts to have lively WMD courses. The Taliban and al Qaeda were routed in Afghanistan, most likely delaying efforts to enhance or purchase WMD.Yet, states proceed to boost and export WMD and/or their supply structures. As many as 30 states are nonetheless believed to have both a nuclear, organic, or chemical guns software. a few have all 3. India and Pakistan have stated courses. Abdul Qadeer Khan, the scientist who directed the Pakistani A-bomb software, has admitted promoting nuclear guns designs, and nuclear enrichment apparatus to Libya, Iran, and North Korea. His colleagues have held discussions with al Qaeda representatives. Ayman Al-Zawahiri, quantity within the al Qaeda chain of command, claims that the 17 november has numerous suitcase A-bombs from the previous Soviet Union. it sounds as if transparent to many who Iran has a wish to enhance nuclear guns. Syria nonetheless has a chemical guns software. North Korea's WMD profile has escalated.As warding off the Abyss so convincingly demonstrates, a lot has been finished because the Counterproliferation Initiative used to be launched-but a lot paintings nonetheless lies forward. it really is an incredible tale for each American.

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Additional resources for Avoiding the Abyss: Progress, Shortfalls, and the Way Ahead in Combating the WMD Threat

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23 North Korea retains the ability to build and test longer-range ballistic missiles. North Korea’s biological weapons program probably dates back to the 1960s. S. officials believe that North Korea could produce biological warfare agents including anthrax, cholera, and plague and possesses a basic ability to weaponize such agents. North Korea is not known to actually possess weaponized biological warfare agents, and the BW program is the least advanced of all of North Korea’s weapons of mass destruction programs.

Bush administration began these nonproliferation negotiations with Libya in early 2003 once it was clear that a settlement was near over the two airliner downings. It is likely that a mixture of carrots and sticks brought Libya to its current counterterrorism and counterproliferation position.

49 In recent years Libya has also agreed to pay reparations to the families of victims of two airliners downed by Libyan directed terrorist actions. These negotiations over payments are largely completed, but not completely resolved. During the Clinton administration, Libya began sounding out whether a deal could be arrived at with the United States to end its economic and political sanctions in return for dismantling its chemical stockpile. The United States rejected any such deal so long as Libya refused to admit its complicity in those terrorist events and pay appropriate damages.

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